Fiscal Implications of Interest Rate Normalization in the United States /

This paper studies the main channels through which interest rate normalization has fiscal implications in the United States. While unexpected inflation reduces the real value of government liabilities, a rising policy rate increases government financing needs because of higher interest payments and...

पूर्ण विवरण

ग्रंथसूची विवरण
मुख्य लेखक: Bi, Huixin
अन्य लेखक: Shen, Wenyi, Susan Yang, Shu-Chun
स्वरूप: पत्रिका
भाषा:English
प्रकाशित: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
श्रृंखला:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/090
ऑनलाइन पहुंच:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Fiscal Implications of Interest Rate Normalization in the United States /  |c Huixin Bi, Wenyi Shen, Shu-Chun Susan Yang. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (45 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper studies the main channels through which interest rate normalization has fiscal implications in the United States. While unexpected inflation reduces the real value of government liabilities, a rising policy rate increases government financing needs because of higher interest payments and lower real bond prices. After an initial decline, the real government debt burden rises even with higher tax revenues in an expansion. Given the current net debt-to-GDP ratio at around 80 percent, interest rate normalization leads to a negligible increase in the sovereign default risk of the U.S. federal government, despite a much higher federal debt-to-GDP ratio than the post-war historical average. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Shen, Wenyi. 
700 1 |a Susan Yang, Shu-Chun. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2019/090 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2019/090/001.2019.issue-090-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library