Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs /

We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines in do...

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Príomhchruthaitheoir: Furceri, Davide
Rannpháirtithe: Hannan, Swarnali, Ostry, Jonathan, Rose, Andrew
Formáid: IRIS
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Sraith:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/009
Rochtain ar líne:Full text available on IMF
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020 |z 9781484390061 
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100 1 |a Furceri, Davide. 
245 1 0 |a Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs /  |c Davide Furceri, Swarnali Hannan, Jonathan Ostry, Andrew Rose. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2019. 
300 |a 1 online resource (57 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines in domestic output and productivity. Tariff increases also result in more unemployment, higher inequality, and real exchange rate appreciation, but only small effects on the trade balance. The effects on output and productivity tend to be magnified when tariffs rise during expansions, for advanced economies, and when tariffs go up, not down. Our results are robust to a large number of perturbations to our methodology, and we complement our analysis with industry-level data. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Hannan, Swarnali. 
700 1 |a Ostry, Jonathan. 
700 1 |a Rose, Andrew. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2019/009 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2019/009/001.2019.issue-009-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library