Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence /

Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of inflation expectations' anchoring using survey...

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Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Bems, Rudolfs
Другие авторы: Caselli, Francesca, Grigoli, Francesco, Gruss, Bertrand
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/280
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence /  |c Rudolfs Bems, Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Bertrand Gruss. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the response of consumer prices to terms-of-trade shocks for countries with flexible exchange rates. We find that these shocks have a significant and persistent effect on consumer price inflation when expectations are poorly anchored. By contrast, inflation reacts by less and returns quickly to its pre-shock level when expectations are strongly anchored. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Caselli, Francesca. 
700 1 |a Grigoli, Francesco. 
700 1 |a Gruss, Bertrand. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2018/280 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2018/280/001.2018.issue-280-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library