Demographics, Pension Systems and the Saving-Investment Balance /

This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic variab...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Chai, Hua
Outros Autores: Il Kim, Jun
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
coleção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/265
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic variables and pension system generosity interact to affect both private and public saving behavior. We then extend this framework to a two-country setting and simulate scenarios of demographic change and pension reform. We find that the generosity of the pension system plays an important role in determining the movement of the global interest rate and patterns of international capital flows.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (21 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students