Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus /

Belarusian authorities contemplate transiting to inflation targeting. The paper suggests a small structural model at the core of the forecasting and policy analysis system. A well-researched canonical structure of Berg, A., Karam, P. and D. Laxton (2006) is extended to capture specifics of Belarusia...

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Autor principal: Musil, Karel
Altres autors: Pranovich, Mikhail, Vlcek, Jan
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/254
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Musil, Karel. 
245 1 0 |a Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus /  |c Karel Musil, Mikhail Pranovich, Jan Vlcek. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2018. 
300 |a 1 online resource (41 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a Belarusian authorities contemplate transiting to inflation targeting. The paper suggests a small structural model at the core of the forecasting and policy analysis system. A well-researched canonical structure of Berg, A., Karam, P. and D. Laxton (2006) is extended to capture specifics of Belarusian economy and macroeconomic policy. The modified model's policy block reflects a monetary targeting regime and allows for transition from it to an interest-rate-based framework. Adding wages, directed lending and dollarization allow for studying implications of activist wage policy, state program lending, and dollarization for macroeconomic stability and the strength of the policy transmission mechanism. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Pranovich, Mikhail. 
700 1 |a Vlcek, Jan. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2018/254 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2018/254/001.2018.issue-254-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library