Counting the Oil Money and the Elderly : Norway's Public Sector Balance Sheet /

Based on a permanent income analysis, Gagnon (2018) has prominently suggested that Norway has saved too much, thereby free-riding on the rest of the world for demand. Our public sector balance sheet analysis comes to the opposite conclusion, chiefly because it also accounts for future aging costs. U...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Cabezon, Ezequiel
Weitere Verfasser: Henn, Christian
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/190
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Cabezon, Ezequiel. 
245 1 0 |a Counting the Oil Money and the Elderly :   |b Norway's Public Sector Balance Sheet /  |c Ezequiel Cabezon, Christian Henn. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2018. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a Based on a permanent income analysis, Gagnon (2018) has prominently suggested that Norway has saved too much, thereby free-riding on the rest of the world for demand. Our public sector balance sheet analysis comes to the opposite conclusion, chiefly because it also accounts for future aging costs. Unsurprisingly, we find that Norway's current assets exceed its liabilities by some 340 percent of mainland GDP. But its nonoil fiscal deficits have grown very large (to almost 8 percent of mainland GDP) and aging pressures are only commencing. Therefore, Norway's intertemporal financial net worth (IFNW) is negative, at about -240 percent of mainland GDP. As IFNW represents an intertemporal budget constraint, this implies that Norway's savings are likely insufficient to address aging costs without additional fiscal action. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Henn, Christian. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2018/190 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2018/190/001.2018.issue-190-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library