Euro Area Policies : Selected Issues.

This Selected Issues paper focuses on long-term impact of Brexit on the European Union (EU). This paper examines consequences of Brexit on the EU27 under various post-Brexit scenarios by using two different complementary approaches. Our results, which are broadly in line with recent findings in the...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
団体著者: International Monetary Fund. European Dept
フォーマット: 雑誌
言語:English
出版事項: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
シリーズ:IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ; No. 2018/224
オンライン・アクセス:Full text available on IMF
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490 1 |a IMF Staff Country Reports 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This Selected Issues paper focuses on long-term impact of Brexit on the European Union (EU). This paper examines consequences of Brexit on the EU27 under various post-Brexit scenarios by using two different complementary approaches. Our results, which are broadly in line with recent findings in the literature, are twofold. First, Brexit would have negative effects on the EU27 as well, given the depth and the complexity of the EU-U.K. integration. Similar to various empirical studies, it has been observed that the estimated long-term output and employment losses (in percent) for the EU27 in the study are on average lower than the corresponding losses for the UK estimated in the literature. The level of output and employment are estimated to fall at most by up to 1.5 percent and 0.7 percent in the long run in the event of a 'hard' Brexit scenario, respectively. A 'soft' Brexit outcome would lead to much lower losses. 
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830 0 |a IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ;  |v No. 2018/224 
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