An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka /

This study documents a semi-structural model developed for Sri Lanka. This model, extended with a fiscal sector block, is expected to serve as a core forecasting model in the process of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka's move towards flexible inflation targeting. The model includes a forward-looki...

Fuld beskrivelse

Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Amarasekara, Chandranath
Andre forfattere: Anand, Rahul, Ehelepola, Kithsiri, Ekanayake, Hemantha
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/149
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivelse
Summary:This study documents a semi-structural model developed for Sri Lanka. This model, extended with a fiscal sector block, is expected to serve as a core forecasting model in the process of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka's move towards flexible inflation targeting. The model includes a forward-looking endogenous interest rate and foreign exchange rate policy rules allowing for flexible change in policy behavior. It is a gap model that allows for simultaneous identification of business cycle position and long-term equilibrium. The model was first calibrated and then its data-fit was improved using Bayesian estimation technique with relatively tight priors.
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Fysisk beskrivelse:1 online resource (59 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Adgang:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students