Empirical Estimation of Fiscal Multipliers in MENA Oil-Exporting Countries with an Application to Algeria /

At a time when Algeria must undertake considerable fiscal consolidation to restore sustainability, the issue of fiscal multipliers has come to the fore. This paper estimates short-term and long-term fiscal multipliers for Algeria applying several econometric methodologies, including Local Projection...

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Príomhchruthaitheoir: Elkhdari, Maria
Rannpháirtithe: Jewell, Andrew, Souissi, Moez
Formáid: IRIS
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Sraith:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/124
Rochtain ar líne:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Elkhdari, Maria. 
245 1 0 |a Empirical Estimation of Fiscal Multipliers in MENA Oil-Exporting Countries with an Application to Algeria /  |c Maria Elkhdari, Moez Souissi, Andrew Jewell. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2018. 
300 |a 1 online resource (39 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a At a time when Algeria must undertake considerable fiscal consolidation to restore sustainability, the issue of fiscal multipliers has come to the fore. This paper estimates short-term and long-term fiscal multipliers for Algeria applying several econometric methodologies, including Local Projection Methodology and Vector Autoregressive Models, and using both Algeria-specific and panel data. The paper also explores asymmetries related to the sign of the output gap as well as the direction of spending. The results suggest that (i) average fiscal multipliers for Algeria are generally moderate and below unity; (ii) the impact of public spending shocks is more important when the output gap is negative; (iii) fiscal spending multipliers are significantly larger during spending contraction than expansion; (iv) procyclicality in public spending does not appear to affect output, except for capital spending cuts when the output gap is negative; and (v) while multipliers associated with countercyclical public spending can be sizeable, a contraction in current spending does not materially affect non-oil GDP. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Jewell, Andrew. 
700 1 |a Souissi, Moez. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2018/124 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2018/124/001.2018.issue-124-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library