Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

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Bibliografiska uppgifter
Huvudupphovsman: Eicher, Theo
Övriga upphovsmän: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Materialtyp: Tidskrift
Språk:English
Publicerad: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Länkar:Full text available on IMF