Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Eicher, Theo
Другие авторы: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF