Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Eicher, Theo
Outros Autores: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF