Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Eicher, Theo
Altri autori: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF