Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Eicher, Theo
Autres auteurs: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF