Forecasts in Times of Crises /

Financial crises pose unique challenges for forecast accuracy. Using the IMF's Monitoring of Fund Arrangement (MONA) database, we conduct the most comprehensive evaluation of IMF forecasts to date for countries in times of crises. We examine 29 macroeconomic variables in terms of bias, efficien...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Eicher, Theo
Other Authors: Christofides, Charis, Kuenzel, David, Papageorgiou, Chris
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/048
Online Access:Full text available on IMF