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|c 5.00 USD
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|z 9781484345405
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|a 1018-5941
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|a BD-DhAAL
|c BD-DhAAL
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|a Jones, Callum.
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|a Aging, Secular Stagnation and the Business Cycle /
|c Callum Jones.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2018.
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| 300 |
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|a 1 online resource (45 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a As of 2015, U.S. log output per capita was 12 percent below what its pre-2008 linear trend would predict. To understand why, I develop and estimate a model of the US with demographics, real and monetary shocks, and the occasionally binding ZLB on nominal rates. Demographic changes generate slow-moving trends in the real interest rate, employment, and productivity. I find that demographics alone can explain one-third of the gap between log output per capita and its linear trend in 2015. Demographics also lowered real rates, causing the ZLB to bind between 2009 and 2015, contributing to the slow recovery after the Great Recession.
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2018/067
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| 856 |
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2018/067/001.2018.issue-067-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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