How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions? /
We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession by a...
| 主要作者: | |
|---|---|
| 其他作者: | , |
| 格式: | 雜誌 |
| 語言: | English |
| 出版: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2018.
|
| 叢編: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2018/039 |
| 主題: | |
| 在線閱讀: | Full text available on IMF |