How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions? /
We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession by a...
| Yazar: | |
|---|---|
| Diğer Yazarlar: | , |
| Materyal Türü: | Dergi |
| Dil: | English |
| Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2018.
|
| Seri Bilgileri: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2018/039 |
| Konular: | |
| Online Erişim: | Full text available on IMF |