Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China /

We jointly estimate credit and fiscal multipliers in China. We use the tenure of the provincial party secretary, interacted with the type of stimulus used in other provinces, to obtain separate instruments for provincial credit and government expenditure. We estimate a fiscal multiplier of 0.8 and a...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Chen, Sophia
Other Authors: Ratnovski, Lev, Tsai, Pi-Han
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/273
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
LEADER 01810cas a2200265 a 4500
001 AALejournalIMF018111
008 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d
020 |c 5.00 USD 
020 |z 9781484332160 
022 |a 1018-5941 
040 |a BD-DhAAL  |c BD-DhAAL 
100 1 |a Chen, Sophia. 
245 1 0 |a Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China /  |c Sophia Chen, Lev Ratnovski, Pi-Han Tsai. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2017. 
300 |a 1 online resource (26 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We jointly estimate credit and fiscal multipliers in China. We use the tenure of the provincial party secretary, interacted with the type of stimulus used in other provinces, to obtain separate instruments for provincial credit and government expenditure. We estimate a fiscal multiplier of 0.8 and a credit multiplier of 0.2 in 2001-2015. The multipliers have changed over time. The fiscal multiplier has increased from 0.75 in 2001-2008 to 1.4 in 2010-2015. The credit multiplier has declined from 0.17 to zero over the same periods. Our results suggest that reducing credit growth in China is unlikely to disrupt output growth, whereas fiscal policy may be effective in supporting macroeconomic adjustment. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Ratnovski, Lev. 
700 1 |a Tsai, Pi-Han. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2017/273 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2017/273/001.2017.issue-273-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library