Trade and Income in the Long Run : Are There Really Gains, and Are They Widely Shared? /

In the cross section of countries, there is a strong positive correlation between trade and income, and a negative relationship between trade and inequality. Does this reflect a causal relationship? We adopt the Frankel and Romer (1999) identification strategy, and exploit countries' exogenous...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Cerdeiro, Diego
Diğer Yazarlar: Komaromi, Andras
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/231
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF
Diğer Bilgiler
Özet:In the cross section of countries, there is a strong positive correlation between trade and income, and a negative relationship between trade and inequality. Does this reflect a causal relationship? We adopt the Frankel and Romer (1999) identification strategy, and exploit countries' exogenous geographic characteristics to estimate the causal effect of trade on income and inequality. Our cross-country estimates for trade's impact on real income are consistently positive and significant over time. At the same time, we do not find any statistical evidence that more trade increases aggregate measures of income inequality. Heeding previous concerns in the literature (e.g. Rodriguez and Rodrik, 2001; Rodrik, Subramanian and Trebbi, 2004), we carefully analyze the validity of our geography-based instrument, and confirm that the IV estimates for the impact of trade are not driven by other direct or indirect effects of geography through non-trade channels.
Diğer Bilgileri:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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Fiziksel Özellikler:1 online resource (36 pages)
Materyal Türü:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Erişim:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students