Did the Exchange Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? /

To fight deflationary pressures at the zero lower bound, in November 2013, the Czech National Bank (CNB) introduced a one-sided floor on the exchange rate, as an additional monetary policy instrument. This paper investigates the impact of the FX floor on inflation in the Czech Republic, by comparing...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Caselli, Francesca
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/206
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF
Description
Résumé:To fight deflationary pressures at the zero lower bound, in November 2013, the Czech National Bank (CNB) introduced a one-sided floor on the exchange rate, as an additional monetary policy instrument. This paper investigates the impact of the FX floor on inflation in the Czech Republic, by comparing actual inflation with counterfactuals in the absence of the exchange rate floor. Three different empirical strategies are implemented: an event study, difference-in-difference regressions and a synthetic control method. The empirical results provide evidence that the exchange rate floor was effective in fighting deflationary pressures and prevented inflation from going into negative territory. The magnitude of the effect ranges between 0.5 to 1.5 percentage points. The results are robust to different econometric specifications.
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Description matérielle:1 online resource (30 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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