A Crude Shock : Explaining the Impact of the 2014-16 Oil Price Decline Across Exporters /

The decline in oil prices in 2014-16 was one of the sharpest in history, and put to test the resilience of oil exporters. We examine the degree to which economic fundamentals entering the oil price decline explain the impact on economic growth across oil exporting economies, and derive policy implic...

Повний опис

Бібліографічні деталі
Автор: Grigoli, Francesco
Інші автори: Herman, Alexander, Swiston, Andrew
Формат: Журнал
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Серія:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/160
Онлайн доступ:Full text available on IMF
Опис
Резюме:The decline in oil prices in 2014-16 was one of the sharpest in history, and put to test the resilience of oil exporters. We examine the degree to which economic fundamentals entering the oil price decline explain the impact on economic growth across oil exporting economies, and derive policy implications as to what factors help to mitigate the negative effects. We find that pre-existing fundamentals account for about half of the cross-country variation in the impact of the shock. Oil exporters that weathered the shock better tended to have a stronger fiscal position, higher foreign currency liquidity buffers, a more diversified export base, a history of price stability, and a more flexible exchange rate regime. Within this group of countries, the impact of the shock is not found to be related to the size of oil exports, or the share of oil in fiscal revenue or economic activity.
Опис примірника:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Фізичний опис:1 online resource (26 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students