Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries : Policies, Institutions, or Shocks? /

This paper estimates the determinants of external debt distress in low-income countries (LICs), disentangling the roles of institutions, shocks, and policies. The most prominent factors in raising the risk of debt distress are the weak protection of private property rights, adverse shocks to real no...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Bal Gunduz, Yasemin
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/114
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF
Description
Résumé:This paper estimates the determinants of external debt distress in low-income countries (LICs), disentangling the roles of institutions, shocks, and policies. The most prominent factors in raising the risk of debt distress are the weak protection of private property rights, adverse shocks to real non-oil commodity prices, and a high debt burden. Results also suggest that weak economic institutions tend to raise the probability of debt distress through persistently weak economic policies and high vulnerability to external shocks. The model enables a more granular analysis of debt sustainability in LICs and has a higher predictive power compared to the earlier scant literature.
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Description matérielle:1 online resource (47 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accès:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students