Evaluating the Impact of Non-Financial IMF Programs Using the Synthetic Control Method /

We use the Synthetic Control Method to study the effect of IMF advice on economic growth, inflation, and investment. The analysis exploits the existence of IMF programs that do not involve any financing (Policy Support Instruments, 'PSIs'). This enables us to focus on the effects of IMF mo...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Newiak, Monique
Beste egile batzuk: Willems, Tim
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/109
Gaiak:
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Evaluating the Impact of Non-Financial IMF Programs Using the Synthetic Control Method /  |c Monique Newiak, Tim Willems. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2017. 
300 |a 1 online resource (43 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We use the Synthetic Control Method to study the effect of IMF advice on economic growth, inflation, and investment. The analysis exploits the existence of IMF programs that do not involve any financing (Policy Support Instruments, 'PSIs'). This enables us to focus on the effects of IMF monitoring, advice, and approval (as opposed to direct financial assistance). In addition, countries with non-financial programs are typically not crisis-struck - thereby mitigating the reverse causality problem and facilitating the construction of counterfactuals. Results suggest that treated countries add about 1 percentage point in annual real GDP per capita growth, with inflation being lower by some 3 percentage points per year. While we do not find evidence for an impact on total investment and the resulting capital stock, PSI-treatment does seem to stimulate foreign direct investment. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
651 7 |a Cabo Verde  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Willems, Tim. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2017/109 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2017/109/001.2017.issue-109-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library