Can Italy Grow Out of Its NPL Overhang? : A Panel Threshold Analysis /

This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evid...

Szczegółowa specyfikacja

Opis bibliograficzny
1. autor: Mohaddes, Kamiar
Kolejni autorzy: Raissi, Mehdi, Weber, Anke
Format: Czasopismo
Język:English
Wydane: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Seria:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/066
Hasła przedmiotowe:
Dostęp online:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Can Italy Grow Out of Its NPL Overhang? :   |b A Panel Threshold Analysis /  |c Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, Anke Weber. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2017. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 3 |a This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evidence for the presence of growth-threshold effects on the NPL ratio in Italy. More specifically, we find that real GDP growth above 1.2 percent, if sustained for a number of years, is associated with a significant decline in the NPLs ratio. Achieving such growth rates requires decisively tackling long-standing structural rigidities and improving the quality of fiscal policy. Given the modest potential growth outlook, however, under which banks are likely to struggle to grow out of their NPL overhang, further policy measures are needed to put the NPL ratio on a firm downward path over the medium term. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
650 7 |a Nonperforming Loans  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Real GDP  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Real Output Growth  |2 imf 
650 7 |a WP  |2 imf 
651 7 |a Italy  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Raissi, Mehdi. 
700 1 |a Weber, Anke. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2017/066 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2017/066/001.2017.issue-066-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library