Labor Force Participation in Chile : Recent Trends, Drivers, and Prospects /

Gains in labor force participation rates in Chile have slowed in recent years. We examine their determinants using a cohort-model analysis. Allowing for both age- and cohort-specific effects in the context of a seemingly unrelated regression equations (SURE) approach, we find that age factors play a...

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書目詳細資料
主要作者: Blagrave, Patrick
其他作者: Santoro, Marika
格式: 雜誌
語言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
叢編:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/054
在線閱讀:Full text available on IMF
實物特徵
總結:Gains in labor force participation rates in Chile have slowed in recent years. We examine their determinants using a cohort-model analysis. Allowing for both age- and cohort-specific effects in the context of a seemingly unrelated regression equations (SURE) approach, we find that age factors play an important role in determining participation decisions, especially for males. For females, we find that strong positive time trends dominate the downward pressure from demographics, although those trends have recently dissipated. In addition, we find that both cohort effects and the business cycle shape participation decisions. Using our cohort-based analysis, we construct projections of participation rates, which suggest population aging will put downward pressure on labor inputs, and thus potential output, in coming years. Further increases in female labor force participation-supported by policies- could more than offset the downward pressure from demographics.
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實物描述:1 online resource (25 pages)
格式:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
訪問:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students