Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks /
Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest...
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| Формат: | Журнал |
| Мова: | English |
| Опубліковано: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2016.
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| Серія: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2016/228 |
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| Онлайн доступ: | Full text available on IMF |