Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks /

Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Nowak, Sylwia
Diğer Yazarlar: Chatterjee, Pratiti
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2016/228
Konular:
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF