Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks /
Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest...
Yazar: | |
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Diğer Yazarlar: | |
Materyal Türü: | Dergi |
Dil: | English |
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2016.
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Seri Bilgileri: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2016/228 |
Konular: | |
Online Erişim: | Full text available on IMF |