Estimating Potential Output in Chile : A Multivariate Filter for Mining and Non-Mining Sectors /

Using a multivariate filter, we estimate potential growth rates in Chile's mining and non-mining sectors. Estimates for the mining sector incorporate information on copper prices, whereas estimates for non-mining reflect information on inflation and unemployment rates. To better understand the...

Повний опис

Бібліографічні деталі
Автор: Blagrave, Patrick
Інші автори: Santoro, Marika
Формат: Журнал
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Серія:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2016/201
Онлайн доступ:Full text available on IMF
Опис
Резюме:Using a multivariate filter, we estimate potential growth rates in Chile's mining and non-mining sectors. Estimates for the mining sector incorporate information on copper prices, whereas estimates for non-mining reflect information on inflation and unemployment rates. To better understand the drivers of potential growth, we decompose estimates into capital, labor (adjusted for human-capital and hours worked), and total-factor productivity using a production-function. Our estimates of potential output in Chile suggest that an important part of the recent growth slowdown has been structural, with potential-output growth slowing to 2 1\2 percent in recent years, although it plausibly could be higher in the medium-term.
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Фізичний опис:1 online resource (32 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students