U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates /

As the Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy, this paper studies the impact of U.S. interest rates on rates in other countries. We find a modest but nontrivial pass-through from U.S. to domestic short-term interest rates on average. We show that, to a large extent, this comoveme...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Caceres, Carlos
Andre forfattere: Carriere-Swallow, Yan, Demir, Ishak, Gruss, Bertrand
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2016/195
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Caceres, Carlos. 
245 1 0 |a U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates /  |c Carlos Caceres, Yan Carriere-Swallow, Ishak Demir, Bertrand Gruss. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (46 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a As the Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy, this paper studies the impact of U.S. interest rates on rates in other countries. We find a modest but nontrivial pass-through from U.S. to domestic short-term interest rates on average. We show that, to a large extent, this comovement reflects synchronized business cycles. However, there is important heterogeneity across countries, and we find evidence of limited monetary autonomy in some cases. The co-movement of longer term interest rates is larger and more pervasive. We distinguish between U.S. interest rate movements that surprise markets versus those that are anticipated, and find that most countries receive greater spillovers from the former. We also distinguish between movements in the U.S. term premium and the expected path of risk-free rates, concluding that countries respond differently to these shocks. Finally, we explore the determinants of monetary autonomy and find strong evidence for the role of exchange rate flexibility, capital account openness, but also for other factors, such as dollarization of financial system liabilities, and the credibility of fiscal and monetary policy. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Carriere-Swallow, Yan. 
700 1 |a Demir, Ishak. 
700 1 |a Gruss, Bertrand. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2016/195 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2016/195/001.2016.issue-195-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library