How to Improve Inflation Targeting in Canada /

Routine publication of the forecast path for the policy interest rate (i.e. 'conventional forward guidance') would improve the transparency of monetary policy. It would also improve policy effectiveness through its influence on expectations, particularly when there is a risk of low inflati...

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Autor principal: Obstfeld, Maurice
Altres autors: Clinton, Kevin, Kamenik, Ondra, Laxton, Douglas
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2016/192
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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Sumari:Routine publication of the forecast path for the policy interest rate (i.e. 'conventional forward guidance') would improve the transparency of monetary policy. It would also improve policy effectiveness through its influence on expectations, particularly when there is a risk of low inflation, and the policy rate is constrained by the effective lower bound. Model simulations indicate that a potent macroeconomic strategy, for returning the Canadian economy to potential, combines conventional forward guidance with a fiscal stimulus. As a response to the effective lower bound constraint, and the decline in the world equilibrium real interest rate, this strategy is preferable to raising the inflation target.
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Descripció física:1 online resource (43 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accés:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students