Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade /

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade /

Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China's economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market economies. The analysis suggests that a 1 percentage point shock to China's f...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Blagrave, Patrick
Diğer Yazarlar: Vesperoni, Esteban
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Seri Bilgileri:Spillover Notes; Spillover Notes ; No. 2016/004
Konular:
China-Demand Shocks
Final Demand
Growth Shock
SN
China, People's Republic of
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF
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490 1 |a Spillover Notes 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China's economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market economies. The analysis suggests that a 1 percentage point shock to China's final demand growth reduces the average country's export growth by 0.1-0.2 percentage point. The impact is largest in Emerging Asia, where an export-growth-accounting exercise suggests that China's economic transition has reduced average export growth rates by 1 percentage point since early 2014. Other countries linked to China's manufacturing sector, as well as commodity exporters, are also significantly affected. This suggests that trading partners need to adjust to an environment of weaker external demand as China completes its transition to a more sustainable growth model. 
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650 7 |a China-Demand Shocks  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Final Demand  |2 imf 
650 7 |a Growth Shock  |2 imf 
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651 7 |a China, People's Republic of  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Vesperoni, Esteban. 
830 0 |a Spillover Notes; Spillover Notes ;  |v No. 2016/004 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/062/2016/004/062.2016.issue-004-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library 

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