Portugal : Selected Issues.

This Selected Issues paper estimates the fiscal impact of demographic changes in Portugal and the euro area over the period 2015-2100. Under the baseline projections of the United Nations, Portugal is among the countries in the euro area that is expected to be most hurt by demographic developments....

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Series:IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ; No. 2016/301
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This Selected Issues paper estimates the fiscal impact of demographic changes in Portugal and the euro area over the period 2015-2100. Under the baseline projections of the United Nations, Portugal is among the countries in the euro area that is expected to be most hurt by demographic developments. During 2015-2100, its population is expected to shrink by about 30 percent while the old-age dependency ratio is expected to more than double, driven mostly by low fertility, higher longevity, and migration outflows. Age-related public spending would increase by about 6 percentage points of GDP under the baseline over the period 2015-50, and the public debt path would become unsustainable in the absence of offsetting policies.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (48 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7685
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students