The Consequences of Policy Uncertainty : Disconnects and Dilutions in the South African Real Effective Exchange Rate-Export Relationship /

In recent years, the link between the real effective exchange rate (REER) and exports in South Africa has weakened. While exports still rise in response to REER depreciations, the REER-export elasticity is below historical estimates. The literature has put forward a number of possible explanations,...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
第一著者: Hlatshwayo, Sandile
その他の著者: Saxegaard, Magnus
フォーマット: 雑誌
言語:English
出版事項: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
シリーズ:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2016/113
オンライン・アクセス:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Hlatshwayo, Sandile. 
245 1 4 |a The Consequences of Policy Uncertainty :   |b Disconnects and Dilutions in the South African Real Effective Exchange Rate-Export Relationship /  |c Sandile Hlatshwayo, Magnus Saxegaard. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2016. 
300 |a 1 online resource (30 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a In recent years, the link between the real effective exchange rate (REER) and exports in South Africa has weakened. While exports still rise in response to REER depreciations, the REER-export elasticity is below historical estimates. The literature has put forward a number of possible explanations, from multi-national supply-chains to muted exchange rate pass-through. This research explores the role of policy uncertainty in reducing the responsiveness of exports to relative price changes. We construct a novel 'news chatter' measure of policy uncertainty and examine how it, paired with other supply-side constraints, can improve our understanding of export performance. We find that increased policy uncertainty diminishes the responsiveness of exports to the REER and has short and long-run level effects on export performance. Finally, we show that a measure of competitiveness that adjusts for uncertainty and supply-side constraints greatly outperforms the REER in tracking exports performance. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Saxegaard, Magnus. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2016/113 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2016/113/001.2016.issue-113-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library