How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads? /
This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 2014, we test whether respondents consider the expected evolution of the fiscal balance-a...
| 第一著者: | |
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| その他の著者: | , |
| フォーマット: | 雑誌 |
| 言語: | English |
| 出版事項: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2016.
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| シリーズ: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2016/100 |
| オンライン･アクセス: | Full text available on IMF |