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|z 9781513590455
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|a 1018-5941
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|a Cashin, Paul.
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|a China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility :
|b Is World Growth Losing Out? /
|c Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2016.
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|a 1 online resource (22 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already weak global economic recovery. To quantify the global macroeconomic consequences of these shocks, we employ a GVAR model estimated for 26 countries/regions over the period 1981Q1 to 2013Q1. Our results indicate that (i) a one percent permanent negative GDP shock in China (equivalent to a one-off one percent growth shock) could have significant global macroeconomic repercussions, with world growth reducing by 0.23 percentage points in the short-run; and (ii) a surge in global financial market volatility could translate into a fall in world economic growth of around 0.29 percentage points, but it could also have negative short-run impacts on global equity markets, oil prices and long-term interest rates.
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a Mohaddes, Kamiar.
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|a Raissi, Mehdi.
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2016/063
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| 856 |
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2016/063/001.2016.issue-063-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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