A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam /

The paper develops a small New-Keynesian FPAS model for Vietnam. The model closely matches actual data from 2000-2014. We derive an optimal monetary policy rule that minimizes variability of output, inflation, and the exchange rate. Compared to the baseline model, the optimal rule places a larger we...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Dizioli, Allan
Otros Autores: Schmittmann, Jochen M.
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/273
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 2 |a A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam /  |c Allan Dizioli, Jochen M. Schmittmann. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a The paper develops a small New-Keynesian FPAS model for Vietnam. The model closely matches actual data from 2000-2014. We derive an optimal monetary policy rule that minimizes variability of output, inflation, and the exchange rate. Compared to the baseline model, the optimal rule places a larger weight on output stabilization as the intermediate target to achieve inflation stability, while allowing greater exchange rate flexibility. We analyze the dynamics of key macro variables under various shocks including external and domestic demand shocks and a lift-off of U.S. interest rates. We find that the optimal monetary policy rule delivers greater macroeconomic stability for Vietnam under the shock scenarios. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Schmittmann, Jochen M. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2015/273 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2015/273/001.2015.issue-273-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library