Fiscal Consolidation During Times of High Unemployment : The Role of Productivity Gains and Wage Restraint /

This paper studies the Swedish fiscal consolidation episode of the 1990s through the lens of a small open economy model with distortionary taxation and unemployment. We argue that the simultaneous reduction in the fiscal deficit and unemployment rate in this episode stems from two factors: (i) high...

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Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Lama, Ruy
Awduron Eraill: Medina Guzman, Juan Pablo
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/262
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
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020 |z 9781513501192 
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100 1 |a Lama, Ruy. 
245 1 0 |a Fiscal Consolidation During Times of High Unemployment :   |b The Role of Productivity Gains and Wage Restraint /  |c Ruy Lama, Juan Pablo Medina Guzman. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2015. 
300 |a 1 online resource (41 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper studies the Swedish fiscal consolidation episode of the 1990s through the lens of a small open economy model with distortionary taxation and unemployment. We argue that the simultaneous reduction in the fiscal deficit and unemployment rate in this episode stems from two factors: (i) high growth rates of total factor productivity (TFP), experienced after the implementation of structural reforms; and (ii) a sustained wage restraint that occurred during the 1990s. The model simulations show that economic growth, accounted for mostly by TFP gains, improved the fiscal balance by 8 percentage points of GDP through an expansion of the tax base and fiscal revenues. Moreover, the combination of stable wages and higher TFP boosted net exports and led to a reduction in the unemployment rate. A counterfactual simulation assuming stagnant TFP shows that fiscal consolidation measures alone would have generated a double-digit unemployment rate without eliminating the fiscal deficit. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Medina Guzman, Juan Pablo. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2015/262 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2015/262/001.2015.issue-262-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library