The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy /

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposi...

पूर्ण विवरण

ग्रंथसूची विवरण
मुख्य लेखक: Mohaddes, Kamiar
अन्य लेखक: Raissi, Mehdi
स्वरूप: पत्रिका
भाषा:English
प्रकाशित: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
श्रृंखला:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/259
ऑनलाइन पहुंच:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Mohaddes, Kamiar. 
245 1 4 |a The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy /  |c Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2015. 
300 |a 1 online resource (35 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Raissi, Mehdi. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2015/259 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2015/259/001.2015.issue-259-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library