Recognizing the Bias : Financial Cycles and Fiscal Policy /

This paper argues that asset price cycles have significant effects on fiscal outcomes. In particular, there is evidence of debt bias-the tendency of debt to increase over the cycle- that is significantly larger for house price cycles than stand-alone business cycles. Automatic stabilizers and discre...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Budina, Nina
Altri autori: Gracia, Borja, Hu, Xingwei, Saksonovs, Sergejs
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/246
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
Descrizione
Riassunto:This paper argues that asset price cycles have significant effects on fiscal outcomes. In particular, there is evidence of debt bias-the tendency of debt to increase over the cycle- that is significantly larger for house price cycles than stand-alone business cycles. Automatic stabilizers and discretionary fiscal policy generally respond to output fluctuations, whereas revenue increases due to house price booms are largely treated as permanent. Thus, neglecting the direct and indirect impact of asset prices on fiscal accounts encourages procyclical fiscal policies.
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Descrizione fisica:1 online resource (30 pages)
Natura:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students