On the Capacity to Absorb Public Investment : How Much is Too Much? /

While expanding public investment can help filling infrastructure bottlenecks, scaling up too much and too fast often leads to inefficient outcomes. This paper rationalizes this outcome looking at the association between cost inflation and public investment in a large sample of road construction pro...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Gurara, Daniel
Outros Autores: Kpodar, Kangni, Presbitero, Andrea, Tessema, Dawit
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/048
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:While expanding public investment can help filling infrastructure bottlenecks, scaling up too much and too fast often leads to inefficient outcomes. This paper rationalizes this outcome looking at the association between cost inflation and public investment in a large sample of road construction projects in developing countries. Consistent with the presence of absorptive capacity constraints, our results show a non-linear U-shaped relationship between public investment and project costs. Unit costs increase once public investment is close to 10% of GDP. This threshold is lower (about 7% of GDP) in countries with low investment efficiency and, in general, the effect of investment scaling up on costs is especially strong during investment booms.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (37 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students