Autonomous Factor Forecast Quality : The Case of the Eurosystem /
The publication of liquidity forecasts can be understood as part of central banks' push toward greater transparency regarding monetary policy implementation. However, the advantages of transparency can only be realized if the information provided is accurate and reliable. This paper (1) provide...
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| Další autoři: | |
| Médium: | Časopis |
| Jazyk: | English |
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Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2019.
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| Edice: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2019/296 |
| On-line přístup: | Full text available on IMF |
| Shrnutí: | The publication of liquidity forecasts can be understood as part of central banks' push toward greater transparency regarding monetary policy implementation. However, the advantages of transparency can only be realized if the information provided is accurate and reliable. This paper (1) provides an overview of the international practice of publishing the forecasts; (2) proposes and implements a framework to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of forecasts using the long history of Eurosystem forecasts as a case study; and (3) analyzes the Eurosystem forecast errors to determine the factors influencing forecast quality. A supporting factor for a high-quality forecast is the contemporaneousness of the information used, whereas money market segmentation can weigh on forecast quality. |
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| Popis jednotky: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Fyzický popis: | 1 online resource (40 pages) |
| Médium: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Přístup: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |