Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? : An Empirical Exploration /

Over the last decade, empirical studies analyzing macroeconomic conditions that may affect the size of government spending multipliers have flourished. Yet, in spite of their obvious public policy importance, little is known about public investment multipliers. In particular, the clear theoretical i...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Izquierdo, Alejandro
Outros Autores: Lama, Ruy, Medina, Juan, Puig, Jorge
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/289
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:Over the last decade, empirical studies analyzing macroeconomic conditions that may affect the size of government spending multipliers have flourished. Yet, in spite of their obvious public policy importance, little is known about public investment multipliers. In particular, the clear theoretical implication that public investment multipliers should be higher (lower) the lower (higher) is the initial stock of public capital has not, to the best of our knowledge, been tested. This paper tackles this empirical challenge and finds robust evidence in favor of the above hypothesis: countries with a low initial stock of public capital (as a proportion of GDP) have significantly higher public investment multipliers than countries with a high initial stock of public capital. This key finding seems robust to the sample (European countries, U.S. states, and Argentine provinces) and to the identification method (Blanchard-Perotti, forecast errors, and instrumental variables). Our results thus suggest that public investment in developing countries would carry high returns.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (47 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students