Assessing Macro-Financial Risks of Household Debt in China /

High household indebtedness could constrain future consumption growth and increase financial stability risks. This paper uses household survey data to analyze both macroeconomic and finanical stability risks from the rapidly rising household debt in China. We find that rising household indebtedness...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Han, Fei
مؤلفون آخرون: Guo, Wei, He, Yun, Jurzyk, Emilia
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/258
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
الوصف
الملخص:High household indebtedness could constrain future consumption growth and increase financial stability risks. This paper uses household survey data to analyze both macroeconomic and finanical stability risks from the rapidly rising household debt in China. We find that rising household indebtedness could boost consumption in the short term, while reducing it in the medium-to-long term. By stress testing households' debt repayment capacity, we find that low-income households are most vulnerable to adverse income shocks which could lead to signficant defaults. Containing these risks would call for a strengthening of systemic risk assessment and macroprudential policies of the household sector. Other policies include improving the credit registry system and establishing a well-functioning personal insolvency framework.
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وصف مادي:1 online resource (25 pages)
التنسيق:Mode of access: Internet
تدمد:1018-5941
وصول:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students