How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe? /

We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw economies as operating below their potential. In real time, output gaps tend to have lar...

Description complète

Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Kangur, Alvar
Autres auteurs: Kirabaeva, Koralai, Natal, Jean-Marc, Voigts, Simon
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/200
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF