Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? : Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence /

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead to credit booms and rising output, and the evidence appears to go their way. To reconci...

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Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteur: Blanchard, Olivier
Andere auteurs: Chamon, Marcos, Ghosh, Atish, Ostry, Jonathan
Formaat: Tijdschrift
Taal:English
Gepubliceerd in: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Reeks:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/226
Online toegang:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? :   |b Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence /  |c Olivier Blanchard, Jonathan Ostry, Atish Ghosh, Marcos Chamon. 
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520 3 |a The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead to credit booms and rising output, and the evidence appears to go their way. To reconcile theory and reality, we extend the set of assets included in the Mundell-Fleming model to include both bonds and non-bonds. At a given policy rate, inflows may decrease the rate on non-bonds, reducing the cost of financial intermediation, potentially offsetting the contractionary impact of appreciation. We explore the implications theoretically and empirically, and find support for the key predictions in the data. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Chamon, Marcos. 
700 1 |a Ghosh, Atish. 
700 1 |a Ostry, Jonathan. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2015/226 
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