A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output /

Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to those of...

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Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Blagrave, Patrick
Awduron Eraill: Garcia-Saltos, Roberto, Laxton, Douglas, Zhang, Fan
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/079
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
Disgrifiad
Crynodeb:Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to those of naive statistical filters, there is still significant uncertainty surrounding the estimates. The paper presents estimates for 16 countries and provides an example of how the filtered estimates at the end of the sample period can be improved with additional information.
Disgrifiad o'r Eitem:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Disgrifiad Corfforoll:1 online resource (30 pages)
Fformat:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Mynediad:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students