Assessing China's Corporate Sector Vulnerabilities /

This paper documents and assesses the risk stemming from rising corporate indebtedness in China using a firm-level dataset of listed firms. It finds that while leverage on average is not high, there is a fat tail of highly leveraged firms accounting for a significant share of total corporate debt, m...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Chivakul, Mali
Outros Autores: Lam, Waikei
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/072
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:This paper documents and assesses the risk stemming from rising corporate indebtedness in China using a firm-level dataset of listed firms. It finds that while leverage on average is not high, there is a fat tail of highly leveraged firms accounting for a significant share of total corporate debt, mainly concentrated in the real estate and construction sector and state-owned enterprises in general. The real estate and construction firms tend to face lower borrowing costs and could withstand a modest increase of interest rate shocks despite their high leverage. The corporate sector is however vulnerable to a significant slowdown in the real estate and construction sector. Our sensitivity analysis suggests that the share of debt that would be in financial distress would rise to about a quarter of total listed firm debt in the event of a 20 percent decline in real estate and construction profits.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (28 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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