El Salvador : Selected Issues.

This Selected Issues paper assesses the potential output in El Salvador. Based on various filters and the production function approach, El Salvador's potential growth is estimated at about 2 percent for 1999-2015, and the output gap is now virtually closed. Potential growth after the global fin...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Colección:IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ; No. 2015/011
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
Descripción
Sumario:This Selected Issues paper assesses the potential output in El Salvador. Based on various filters and the production function approach, El Salvador's potential growth is estimated at about 2 percent for 1999-2015, and the output gap is now virtually closed. Potential growth after the global financial crisis has fallen as a result of lower capital accumulation and total factor productivity (TFP). TFP growth depends on technological progress, as well as the institutional, regulatory, and legal environment in which businesses operate. From a cyclical perspective, the economy is assessed to be operating at potential and labor market conditions also appear to be broadly neutral. Strengthening capital and TFP growth going forward is critical to achieve the authorities' goal of raising potential growth to 3 percent over the medium term. Structural reforms should prioritize mobilizing domestic savings to invest and build a higher capital stock, enhancing research and development/technological diffusion and competition in product and labor markets, strengthening institutions to secure property rights and reduce red tape, improving infrastructure, facilitating access to financing, and fostering human capital to boost TFP growth. Going forward, it is critical to undertake structural reforms to strengthen capital and TFP to raise potential growth.
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Descripción Física:1 online resource (22 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7685
Acceso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students