Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India? /

This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and GDP growth in India. We collect data on a sample of 14 Indian states over the period 1989-2013, and use the cross-sectionally augmented distributed lag (CSDL) approach of Chudik and o...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Mohaddes, Kamiar
Другие авторы: Raissi, Mehdi
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/222
Предметы:
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and GDP growth in India. We collect data on a sample of 14 Indian states over the period 1989-2013, and use the cross-sectionally augmented distributed lag (CSDL) approach of Chudik and others (2013) as well as the standard panel ARDL method for estimation-to account for cross-state heterogeneity and dependence, dynamics and feedback effects. Our findings suggest that, on average, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This suggest the need for the Reserve Bank of India to balance the short-term growthinflation trade-off, in light of the long-term negative effects on growth of persistently-high inflation. 
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